Houston Texans: The Truth on Tom Savage's Chances for Success

Categories: Game Time, Sports

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Mathematically, the most certain way (or more accurately, the least uncertain way) to acquire a franchise quarterback in the NFL is to choose one with the first pick of the draft.

For the third time in their franchise's history, the Houston Texans had the first pick in the NFL Draft last Thursday. As has been well documented here, my hope all along had been that they would use that pick to take Texas A&M quarterback Johnny Manziel. As it turns out, they did not. They chose South Carolina defensive end Jadeveon Clowney instead.

So be it; I survived draft night.

Even with a chance to move back into the first round and take Manziel somewhere in the 20's (as it turned out, several GMs disagreed with my assessment of Manziel's skills), the Texans chose not to do so.

As it turned out, the Texans (and numerous other teams) just weren't that into Johnny Manziel.

I disagree with the Texans' assessment of Manziel (and Teddy Bridgewater, for that matter, whom they also could've traded back up for at 32), but agreed with their subsequent strategy once they passed on him, whereby they waited until the fourth round to take a quarterback. (They could've waited two more rounds, for all I cared, at that point.) If you're not going to draft a quarterback early, no reason to burn valuable second- and third-round picks on one whose chances of becoming the "face of the franchise" are minimal.

So the Texans waited until the back end of the fourth round, the 135th pick, to be exact, to select University of Pittsburgh signal caller Tom Savage as their rookie project. And a project he is, having gone nearly three calendar years without playing football before leading the Panthers to an up-and-down 7-6 season in 2013, his only season as a starter at Pitt.

As best I can tell, the strengths of Savage, as considered by Bill O'Brien and Rick Smith, are:

* Prototypical NFL quarterback size (6'5", 229 pounds)
* Plus arm strength
* Ability to handle adversity (two transfers, worked construction between transfers)

Here is Savage's highlight reel, for your consumption...


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17 comments
James Hoang
James Hoang

This guy has all the attributes and measures to be a solid nfl qb. We got him in the 4th round. This was an optimal risk-reward arbitrage. Fitzpatrick sucks. I'm hoping keenum/savage will emerge as our future qb. #texans

Brian Burch
Brian Burch

I do not believe we would have had to BURN a pick for this guy,, just like Keenum, He would be undrafted and available ,,, no clue why we did what we did..

wmalveaux
wmalveaux

welcome to houston mr. savage.  the "eyes" of texas are now upon you!

Donna Perry
Donna Perry

Tom Brady - Selected #199 in Round #6 in the 2000 NFL Draft by the New England Patriots - so what.

stevek77536
stevek77536

But let me have my fantasies.  I recall an *undrafted* quarterback who ended up in nine Pro Bowls AND the Hall Of Fame.  

Daniel Rex
Daniel Rex

Savage was projected as an early second rounder by some. You have nitpicked facts too much and are drawing assumptions. The fact is this draft was unique in the fact that very few quarterbacks went in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. So calling Savage a project 4th rounder is a little disingenuous, IMO.

jjjames
jjjames

according to pro-football-reference.com, Matt Barkley is 0 starts is 30/49 300yds and 4 int / 0 td

Anse
Anse

If Johnny Football comes to nothing in Cleveland like so many quarterbacks before him, will his defenders say that sending him to that team was a curse not even a young Joe Montana could overcome? Does Cleveland have a system in place that can take advantage of his strengths and give him a true test? Or would he end up with the same fate no matter where he went?

big.red.guy
big.red.guy

Johnny Football is Brady Quinn v.2.0

pro_NFL_scout
pro_NFL_scout

not that you ever had much, but you and fools like Juan Lopez have lost so much credibility via your man crushes on manziel, it's laughable. it should be clear now that manziel was rightfully never on the Texans radar, but was a character created by media idiots such as yourself. every qb in this draft is a project, which means the Texans did the right thing. build the roster in the trenches, take a qb for value with the ideal frame and arm to succeed in the league vs. reaching for an undersized punk who runs around like a chicken with its head cut off.


do you understand now? or do I need dumb this down further with some Sopranos, WWF or Game of Thrones references so the truth resonates within your pea brain?


your opinions don't matter any more

TonyTX
TonyTX

@pro_NFL_scout I agree with pro_NFL_scout. This article is decent and provides good data but the total body of work is questionable.  I wonder just what your credentials are and how you came to be in your current position, Mr. Pendergast.

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