Money, Spin and the Texas Governor's Race: Wendy Davis Still Unlikely to Win

192px-Wendy_Davis2013.jpeg
Photo byKevin_Sutherland
Texas is Not Going Blue in 2014

Last week, Greg Abbott sent out an email to his supporters claiming that "Sen. Wendy Davis has raised $8.7 million from liberals in New York, California and Washington." Try as I might, I could not verify this claim. Indeed, the venerable conservative magazine National Review did not bother to fact check this claim, instead just repeating Abbott's claim. Even a Rice political scientist did no more than perform a "he said/she said" recounting of Abbott's claims.

Wendy Davis did indeed raise $8.7 million in contributions during the last reporting period, but there is no evidence, as implied by Abbott, that all the money came from the liberal trifecta: California, New York (coastal elites) and the always-hated Washington. It is implausible, as Abbott wants you to believe, that all that money came from outside Texas.

But Davis is (sort of) playing money games of her own. In claiming that she raised $12 million to Abbott's $11.5 million, she counted the money that went to a separate PAC, Texas Victory Committee. Abbott's campaign called her out on this. But the PAC is largely a PAC that is going to funnel money to Davis. So, truthiness abounds on both sides. As with any campaign, the partisans (attempt to) construct a reality rather than living in it.

And as with any politician, Davis is trying to buoy Democrats into thinking that they might actually have a chance to take their first state-wide office since 1994. It's difficult to take this too seriously, however.

First, there just are not enough White Democratic voters in Texas. In 2010, most White Texas voters (51 percent), not Republicans, but voters overall, were conservative. There are not enough Hispanic and Black voters to make up for the fact that White more or less equals conservative in Texas still. (And in case you're keeping track, this is exactly why the Republicans in Texas passed voter ID laws making it harder for minorities to vote and easier for Whites to cast their ballot; it's politics all the way down).


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10 comments
woodbyorsi
woodbyorsi

Hard work???....You used a man with money to get what you needed and dropped him like a hot light bulb when you were done!...I call that a user politician!

woodbyorsi
woodbyorsi

A liberal woman that lies on the campaign trail????  Who would have thunk?

Puller58
Puller58

Thank you for this.  It's been a while since Ann Richards was in office, and Molly Ivins is gone. (Wendy's recent kerfluffel over her "past" brings back memories of Lena Guerreo. Not a good thing.)  The day of the yellow dog Democrats is gone.

KHorn
KHorn

@woodbyorsi Come on, she had to struggle for a couple of years as a single mother before her sugar daddy came along. What does 30 years as a paraplegic have on that when it comes to life difficulties.

roguebotanist
roguebotanist

@KHorn@roguebotanist 

Can I get the address for that po-dunk community college your went to.  Also the specific course on bullshitting your resume.  I think I'll call myself Mongolian and say I have five degrees from Stanford.  Then I can bitch about lower class people to feel good about my conservative exceptionalism.  

KHorn
KHorn

@roguebotanist@KHorn Not surprised you're a racist, it explains a lot.  I'm not complaining about her academic success, just her lying about how she paid for it (or for her law school, how she didn't).  Oh, for the record, my wife and I are Polynesian, so good work dumb white man.  

KHorn
KHorn

@roguebotanist My wife and I were married when we started college, paid our own way with jobs, grants and scholarships (no sugar daddy for us) and had two kids.  Lived in apartments, not trailers, and didn't get the Harvard degree, but did manage between us to get three degrees from UT, one from Georgetown and one from Johns Hopkins, so I'd say we managed to outperform old whiny Wendy.  Now, why don't you let me know when you grow up.

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