Football! Baylor-UT, NFL: This Weekend's Best Bets

tebowing120211.jpg
Let the Tebowing continue!
"College football is March Madness every week!" -- Bill Hancock, Executive Director of the Bowl Championship Series

Ah, the battle cry of the BCS apologist. Specifically, the battle cry of the BCS executive director, Bill Hancock.

It's what he and his minions tell the right-thinking people who believe a college football playoff would be a more sensible, lucrative alternative to the postseason mess we have right now -- "Every week matters! We have more important games in this system! The regular season is crucial!"

Well, here we are in what should be the most important week of the regular season and virtually none of the games matter in the grand scheme of deciding a BCS title game. Zero. Your system is broken, Bill.

The good news is we do have a way to make every week of the regular season important. It's called gambling! The even better news is that I'm on a 10-2 run the last two weeks! So let's get you ready to stick it to the man this weekend, shall we?

BAYLOR -3 over Texas
By my count, the Heisman race is down to three guys -- Trent Richardson, Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III. Online, the leader right now is actually Richardson, who is a -140 favorite with the field (gambling speak for "everyone else") as a +100 wager. The only one of those three who still has an opportunity to impress voters is RG3, who will get a chance to put up some numbers against a Texas team that is coming off a nationally televised win and has one of those famous uniforms where, even if the team is somewhat unimpressive, the post-game celebration of beating them makes you say, "Holy shit! They beat Texas!" We're riding the RG3 train, folks.

BOISE STATE -48 1/2 over New Mexico
How bad is New Mexico? Bob Davie, their new head coach starting in 2012, is viewed as a major upgrade and a potential savior for their program. That's bad. 48-1/2 point spread bad? Yes. Yes, it is.

Wisconsin -9 1/2 over Michigan State
These two teams played several weeks ago in a game with one of the best finishes of the season, a Hail Mary on the final play which gave the Spartans a huge win and sent the Badgers to their first loss of the season. In that game, the Badgers won the total-yards battle, but were done in by a couple turnovers. I'm going to go with the rules that (a) you always take the team that lost the first game the second time around and (b) a Hail Mary win at home equals a ten-point loss on a neutral field (not an actual rule).

Chiefs/BEARS under 37 1/2
Tyler Palko has not led the Chiefs offense to a touchdown in two-plus games as their quarterback. The Bears have Caleb Hanie as their quarterback. These teams might not score 37 1/2 points in the next three weeks combined.

DOLPHINS -3 over Raiders
Despite the 3-8 record, the Dolphins have actually been one of the steadiest teams against the spread during the last five weeks. The Raiders are traveling cross-country for an early start in a weekend where their starting inside linebacker, Rolando McClain, was arrested in Alabama for holding a gun to a guy's head and discharging it next to his ear. Dolphins win one (and cover) for the dude who got mock-executed.

Broncos +2 over VIKINGS
I'm done doubting Tebow. 5-1 as a starter. I'm on the God squad.

Last week: 5-1
Season record: 43-29

Listen to Sean Pendergast on 1560 The Game and Yahoo! Sports Radio from noon to 3 p.m. weekdays and follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/SeanCablinasian.


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NCAA, NFL

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1 comments
Football Betting Tips
Football Betting Tips

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