This Weekend's Best Bets: Tim Tebow's TV Career Odds
Now some quick Best Bets for this weekend, as I try to build off my amazing 6-5-1 record the last two weeks (just enough to pay the vig!)
Missouri +2 over Auburn (SEC Title Game)
I think four things work in Missouri's favor here:
1. Auburn is set up for a classic "let down" situation after the way that they beat Alabama last weekend. Final play of the game, greatest Iron Bowl ever, rivalry game, it's all there for a lazy first quarter from the Tigers (shit, they're both the Tigers, I hate that). Lazy first quarter from Auburn.
2. Auburn's strength is its ground game, but Missouri defends the run pretty well (defensively, Mizzou is 14th in the nation in total rushing yards, 23rd in the nation in yards per carry).
3. Auburn seems to be the most bandied about possible BCS title game "gate crasher" in this game, but they've had two wins this month that were of the "miracle" variety, and Missouri has won all but one of their 11 wins by at least two touchdowns. Also, their loss was in double overtime on a missed field goal. So along those lines...
4. I think Missouri is going to feel a little disrespected being an underdog.
Missouri 38, Auburn 24
Texas/BAYLOR OVER 71 1/2
Texas has gone 3-1 on the road but it's been a mediocre 3-1 (blowout loss to BYU, one point win at Iowa State, 30-7 win over 4-8 TCU, overtime win at West Virginia). They haven't beaten a bowl eligible team on the road. Depending on how the Oklahoma/Oklahoma State game plays out, this game could be for a Big 12 title. When he's at home, Art Briles right now is like Michael Corleone in the last half hour of The Godfather squaring all family business with other schools who picked on Baylor in years past. Points will be scored.
ARIZONA STATE -3 over Stanford
These two teams played early in the season in Palo Alto, and Stanford built a monster halftime lead on their way to a 42-28 win, which was probably karmic rebalancing from the football gods from the week before when Arizona State beat Arizona on the most butchered final 15 seconds of a game you'll ever see. This is a different Arizona State team, though, thats peaking at the right time, and Stanford has been just all right since knocking off Oregon in early November. Home team here.
Raiders +2 1/2 over JETS
I'll admit, I'm hoping I'm right on this one just so we get a sequel to this:
BENGALS -6 1/2 over Colts
This is the AFC Intercontinental Title bout for "best division winner who won't have a first round bye in the AFC" (Denver and New England are getting those spots.). Bengals are 5-0 ATS at home this season, and Indy seems to have settled into this malaise where they follow wins with horrifying losses over the last month.
SAINTS -3 over Panthers
The Panthers are the hottest team in football (Last eight games: 8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS), and the Saints at home are nails (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) especially in prime time. Irresistible force meets the immovable object, I'll take the home team in prime time.
Last week: 3-2-1
Season record: 33-48-3
Listen to Sean Pendergast on 1560 Yahoo! Sports Radio from 3 p.m. to 7 p.m. weekdays and nationally on the Yahoo! Sports Radio network Saturdays from 11 a.m. to 1 p.m. CST. Also, follow him on Twitter at http://twitter.com/SeanCablinasian.