Abbott Leads Davis in Early Governors Race Poll

wendy_davis_run.jpg
Photo by Allison Hess
Davis trails and the race hasn't even started.
Wendy Davis hasn't even announced she's running yet (that will come tomorrow), but she is already lagging behind GOP candidate Greg Abbott by 8 points according to a Texas Lyceum poll reported in the Houston Chronicle. The feisty, filibustering Davis trails 21 percent to Abbot's 29 percent in the poll of 800 registered Texas voters. A whopping 50 percent still are unsure, not surprising since neither candidate has done much in the way of campaigning yet.

Davis leads among African Americans and Hispanics and is, interestingly, in a statistical tie among women (Abbot actually led by 2 percentage points, but that is within the poll's 3-plus percentage point margin of error). Abbot leads among Republican primary voters with 22 percent, but 69 percent of respondents said they have not formed an opinion of the GOP candidates.

Davis was catapulted into the spotlight when she filibustered to prevent the passage of anti-abortion legislation during a special session called by Governor Rick Perry. The legislation eventually passed in a subsequent special session, but Davis and her pink tennis shoes grabbed national media attention.

Most political analysts believe Davis is a long shot to win the spot being vacated by Perry. She's a relative political unknown and this is still a state run by Republicans. But, with a dramatic rise in the number of minorities in Texas, the demographics are beginning to change and not in favor of the GOP.

Whatever happens, it will no doubt be an entertaining race.

My Voice Nation Help
14 comments
Robert Schroeder
Robert Schroeder

When Bill White ran I was still living in Austin and I can tell you a lot of people living outside of Houston just didn't know who he was. I think Wendy has enough name recognition to have a fighting chance. It all depends on how mobilized the Dems can get.

Jay Francis
Jay Francis

I would say no considering what a great governor Bill White would have made. This is a state where everyone just votes straight party and doesn't think about the impact. This is a state where the majority of the clergy believe the world is 5000 years old and they communicate that message to their parishioners weekly. This is an anti-science, anti-intellectual state. Sure, there are pockets of thinking people in the big cities. But this is a state where the one party tried to so gerrymander the district that Wendy Davis was running in that she wouldn't have a chance to get elected.

Jake Rawls
Jake Rawls

For better or worse, I predict this will be a campaign unlike ones of the recent past. With Battleground Texas receiving lots of out of state donors, I imagine the GOP will likely have donors pumping in money from out of state too to fight back. I expect this to turn REALLY nasty, and very quickly with possibly the most expensive gubernatorial campaign in Texas history. Make no mistake, even though this a state election, it will be very "national" in several ways.

Roger Gent
Roger Gent

Garry Mauro, Tony Sanchez, Chris Bell, Bill White. Those are the names of the last 4 Democratic candidates for Governor of Texas. At the least Wendy Davis' entry provides some name recognition and excitement for a Democratic Party that has been sorely lacking both of those items. Also, Wendy Davis' entry into the race may force the Republican nominee to come back to the center, as opposed to the constant push further to the right that the Republican primaries require.

Adam Komar
Adam Komar

I'm down for Funky Town just to mix things up a bit.

George Zoes
George Zoes

LOL yes only if you agree to kill your first born

Clint Mendonça
Clint Mendonça

As a centrist independent, why is it "surprising" that Davis is actually trailing amongst women? Davis' filibuster was "pro-choice", whereas the majority of Texans-- including women-- placed Republicans (in theory, de facto "pro-lifers") in the State Legislature, to the tune of an almost-guaranteed passing of the recent bill she filibustered. It's no wonder that another Republican has the lead.

nguyenhm16
nguyenhm16

Demographics or not, it won't happen this coming election.

H_e_x
H_e_x

@George Zoes With such charming rhetoric, I can't imagine why you are sad and lonely. Nope, can't be a fundamental misunderstanding of women with some antiquated paternalism thrown in, nah, that can't be it at all.

Now Trending

From the Vault

 

Loading...